Aluminium Scrap Demand to Rise 3.87% in 2025 as Primary Production Tightens
Global aluminium consumption hit 100.8 Mt in 2024, with 28.4 Mt sourced from recycled aluminium. Primary output is expected to grow only modestly to 73.9 Mt in 2025, constrained by China’s 45 Mt capacity cap and European smelting shutdowns. Consequently, recycled aluminium demand is projected to climb 3.87% in 2025, bolstering the low‑carbon supply backbone.
Global aluminium consumption hit 100.8 Mt in 2024, with 28.4 Mt sourced from recycled aluminium. Primary output is expected to grow only modestly to 73.9 Mt in 2025, constrained by China’s 45 Mt capacity cap and European smelting shutdowns. Consequently, recycled aluminium demand is projected to climb 3.87% in 2025, bolstering the low‑carbon supply backbone.
The uptick in recycled aluminium demand will likely lift scrap prices in the short to medium term, benefiting recyclers and secondary producers. Limited primary output and potential supply shocks (e.g., Mozambique closure) could tighten overall supply, adding upward pressure on aluminium prices.